Adam Webb.

Newsletter deal calculator · free, no sign-up

Someone wants to email their list about your project.

They want money up front, plus a cut of everything they sell. Is that a good deal? Put four numbers in below and you will know in about a minute.

What they are asking for

Copy these two numbers straight out of their email.

What you keep when someone buys

Two numbers: what a customer pays you, and what the thing costs you to make.

You can skip this. Those fees come off whether you do this deal or not, so the comparison works either way.

How many sales before you break even

They have to sell

just to cover what this deal costs you.

You normally keep

With this deal you keep

Their cut swallows

Four things to ask them first

  1. Will you send people through a referral link I give you, so I can see exactly what it brought in?
  2. How many sales did you get for a project like mine? Not your best one ever.
  3. If the email does badly, do I get my money back?
  4. Can I read the email before you send it?

None of these are rude. Anyone good will happily answer. If they dodge the first or the last one, walk away.

How this works

Step one: what do you keep? Someone pays you $50. The thing cost you $15 to make. So you keep $35. That $35 is the only money that can pay for anything — not the $50.

Step two: take off their cut. Their cut is 15%, but it is 15% of the whole $50, so $7.50. Take that off your $35 and you have $27.50 left. Look at what just happened: they said 15%, and they took more than a fifth of what you actually had. That is the bit everybody misses.

Step three: pay back the money up front. You gave them $800 before anything happened. At $27.50 a sale, you need 30 sales just to get back to where you started. Sale number 31 is the first one that earns you anything.

One more thing, and it is not in the sum. Give them a Kickstarter referral link — your project URL with a tracking tag on the end. Kickstarter then shows you in your own dashboard exactly how many pledges and how much money that link brought in. So you never have to take their word for how the email did, and you can check the number yourself before you pay anyone a cut.

Kickstarter’s own fees are left out unless you tick the box, because you pay those whether you take this deal or not.

Questions people ask

Is 15% commission normal?

Ten to twenty per cent of pledge value is a common range. The number sounds small because people compare it to the full pledge. Compare it to your margin instead — that is the money it is actually coming out of.

Are these deals a scam?

Usually not. Some of these lists are genuinely valuable and some promoters are very good. But the deal was written by someone who does this every week and it is being read by someone doing it for the first time. That asymmetry is the problem, not dishonesty.

How do I check what it actually brought in?

Give them a Kickstarter referral link before the email goes out. Kickstarter reports pledges by referrer in your dashboard, so you can see what that send actually did rather than taking their word for it.

They want an answer today.

Nobody with a genuine offer minds waiting a day. Pressure to decide immediately is itself a piece of information. "Send me the numbers and I will come back to you tomorrow" is a complete answer.

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